OPINION | This article contains opinion. This site is licensed to publish this content.
Trump Holds Double-Digit Lead
Several polls show former President Trump leading or competitive with President Biden in Texas and nationally. A Marist poll found Trump leading Biden by 11 points in Texas, up from a 5.5 point victory in 2020, with increased support from Black, Latino and independent voters.
Independents
“Independents, who Biden carried by 6 percentage points in 2020, now break for Trump. Trump receives 56% of Texas independents to 41% for Biden,” Marist reported.
Senator Ted Cruz
The poll also showed Republican Senator Ted Cruz leading Democratic Congressman Colin Allred by 6 points in their Senate race.
Nearly tied
Other polls found the presidential race nearly tied nationally, with immigration, the economy and inflation as top issues for voters, and Trump receiving higher ratings than Biden on handling the economy and other issues.
Among independents
“Among independents, Cruz (50%) is up by eight percentage points against Allred (42%),” Maris reported. “There is a wide gender gap. Cruz (59%) carries men by 21 percentage points over Allred (38%). Allred (52%) tops Cruz (44%) among women.”
Biden losing
The polls indicate Biden losing ground on key issues and suggest the election remains unsettled. The polling averages for the 2024 presidential election between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump reflect a closely matched contest, underscoring the intricate dynamics and shifting sentiments shaping the electoral landscape.
Polling averages
The polling averages for the 2024 presidential election capture the sentiments of registered voters across the nation, providing insights into the evolving preferences and the closely contested nature of the electoral race. The polling data underscores the enduring significance of public opinion and the fluid dynamics that are shaping the electoral narrative.
Registered voters
The polling averages reveal a narrow margin separating President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump among registered voters nationally, highlighting the closely matched nature of the 2024 presidential contest. The dynamics driving the race have taken an unanticipated turn, with the polling data reflecting the intricacies of voter preferences and the potential for shifting sentiments.
Six in ten voters
The polling averages indicate that six in ten voters have firm support for their chosen candidate, while four in ten remain undecided or could change their minds. This polarization of voter sentiments underscores the enduring significance of undecided voters and the potential for evolving electoral dynamics in the lead-up to the election.
Closely matched
The polling averages underscore the shifting dynamics and the potential for evolving voter sentiments as the electoral landscape continues to unfold. The closely matched preferences between Biden and Trump reflect the fluid nature of the political discourse and the enduring significance of electoral narratives.
Undecided voters
The polling data highlights the pivotal role of undecided voters and the potential for influencing the electoral outcome, underscoring the enduring significance of campaign strategies, policy agendas, and the broader societal and political context in shaping voter preferences.
2024 presidential election
The polling averages for the 2024 presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump illuminate the closely matched nature of the electoral contest and the enduring significance of evolving voter sentiments.
